Time of issue: 1130 hours IST Dated: 24-11-2013
Bulletin No.: BOB07/2013/04
Sub: Cyclonic storm ‘LEHAR’ over Andaman Sea: Cyclone warning for Andaman & Nicobar Islands (Orange Message)
The cyclonic storm ‘LEHAR’ over Andaman Sea remained practically stationary and lay centred at 0830 hrs IST of today, the 24 November 2013 near latitude 10.00N and longitude 95.00E, about 300 km south-southeast of Port Blair. The system would move northwestward and cross Andaman & Nicobar Islands between Hut Bay and Long Island, close to Port Blair around night of today, the 24th November 2013. It would then emerge into southeast Bay of Bengal, intensify further gradually into a very severe cyclonic storm. It would move west-northwestwards and cross Andhra Pradesh coast between Machillipatnam and Kalingapatnam near Kakinada around 28th November noon.
Track and intensity forecasts of the system are given in the table below:
Date/Time(IST) Position
(Lat. 0N/ long. 0E) Maximum sustained surface
wind speed (kmph) Category
24-11-2013/0830 10.0/95.0 65-75 GUSTING TO 85 CYCLONIC STORM
24-11-2013/1130 10.5/94.5 70-80 GUSTING TO 90 CYCLONIC STORM
24-11-2013/1730 11.0/93.8 80-90 GUSTING TO 100 CYCLONIC STORM
24-11-2013/2330 11.5/93.0 90-100 GUSTING TO 110 CYCLONIC STORM
25-11-2013/0530 12.0/92.2 100-110 GUSTING TO 120 SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM
25-11-2013/1730 12.5/90.6 110-120 GUSTING TO 130 VERY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM
26-11-2013/0530 13.0/89.1 120-130 GUSTING TO 140 VERY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM
26-11-2013/1730 13.5/87.6 130-140 GUSTING TO 150 VERY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM
27-11-2013/0530 14.4/86.0 140-150 GUSTING TO 160 VERY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM
27-11-2013/1730 15.5/84.5 160-170 GUSTING TO 185 VERY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM
28-11-2013/0530 16.5/83.0 170-180 GUSTING TO 195 VERY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM
28-11-2013/1730 17.5/81.5 120-130 GUSTING TO 140 VERY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM
29-11-2013/0530 18.5/80.5 70-80 GUSTING TO 90 CYCLONIC STORM
Warning for Andaman & Nicobar Island
1. Rainfall Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy rainfall at a few places with isolated extremely heavy falls (25 cm or more) would occur over Andaman & Nicobar Islands during 48 hrs.
2. Squally/Gale Winds Squally winds speed reaching 50-60 kmph gusting to 70 kmph would prevail along and off Andaman & Nicobar Islands. The wind speed would gradually increase and become 80-90 kmph gusting to 100 kmph from 24th evening along and off this coast.
3. Storm Surge Storm surge of about 1 to 1.5 metre height above astronomical tide would inundate the low lying areas of Andaman & Nicobar Islands within 100 km from the landfall point.
4.Sea condition Sea condition will be very rough along and off Andaman & Nicobar Islands becoming high to very high from 24th November evening.
5. Damage expected due to a cyclonic storm over Andaman & Nicobar Islands Damage to thatched huts. Breaking of tree branches and uprooting trees causing minor damage to power and communication.
6.Action Suggested Total suspension of fishing operations.
The next bulletin will be issued at 1430 hrs IST of today, the 24th November, 2013.
As received from Cyclone Warning Division, New Delhi
Duty Officer
M.O. Port Blair
